Credit and Business Cycles
نویسنده
چکیده
This paper presents two dynamic models of the economy in which credit constraints arise because creditors cannot force debtors to repay debts unless the debts are secured by collateral. The credit system becomes a powerful propagation mechanism by which the effects of shocks persist and amplify through the interaction between collateral values, borrowers' net worth and credit limits. In particular, when ®xed assets serve as collateral, I show that relatively small, temporary shocks to technology or wealth distribution can generate large, persistent ̄uctuations in output and asset prices. JEL Classi®cation Numbers: E32, E44.
منابع مشابه
Credit Cycles of the Iranian Economy
There is a lot of evidence on the relationship between business cycles and financial. We study the credit cycles of the Iranian Economy and their relationship with the business cycles. The literature suggests using various indicators for credit cycles. We use the ratio of banking loan to the private sector to potential nominal GDP as the indicator of credit status. Contraction and expansion per...
متن کاملBank Lending Behaviour over the Business Cycle in Iran
This paper studies bank loans over the business cycles in Iran to determine the role of Iranian banks in stabilizing credit. By estimating the long-run relations using dynamic OLS and fully modified OLS estimators, the findings show that real bank lending is positively related to real GDP in the long-run providing evidences of the pro-cyclicality of bank lending in Iran. Hence, Iranian banking ...
متن کاملCredit Score Migration Analysis of Farm Businesses: Conditioning on Business Cycles and Migration Trends
This study examines credit score migration rates of farm businesses. We test whether migration probabilities differ across business cycles. Our results suggest that agricultural credit ratings are more likely to improve during expansions and deteriorate during recessions. We also test whether agricultural credit ratings depend on the previous period migration trends. Our results show that credi...
متن کاملDynamics of Housing Prices and Economic Fluctuations in Iran with the Approach of Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE)
This paper studies the relationship between housing prices and business cycles in Iran. Since housing has a dual nature, that is, both private and capital nature, it can play an important role in investment costs and economic growth and incite other manufacturing sectors in the country. In this paper, housing prices and business cycles have been used to measure housing as a collateral, which is...
متن کاملHousehold portfolio channel of credit shocks transmission: The Case of Iran
In this study, we use a Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium (DSGE) model to investigate the household portfolio channel of monetary and credit shocks transmission in Iran. In this regard, we developed a canonical New Keynesian DSGE model with financial and banking sectors. The model is estimated by Bayesian method for the period 1990-2012. The result showed that the current and expected pric...
متن کاملThe Effect of Liquidity and Credit Risk on the Relationship be-tween Business Activities and Fluctuations in the Price of all Com-panies Listed on the Tehran Stock Exchange
In this study business operations and liquidity and credit risk on price fluctuations on the stock exchange since 2010 to 2013 has been Tehran distance. The sample consisted of 76 company The systematic elimination method is selected. The company had a total of 304 years, in this study, the hypothesis of linear regression and correlation to analyse the data and test hypotheses Eviews software i...
متن کامل